File of Inventor Raymond Kurzweil speaking at the Fortune Brainstorm Tech conference in Pasadena, California Thomson Reuters Ray Kurzweil, Google's chief futurist, laid out what he thinks the next few decades will look like in an interview with Playboy. But even beforeKurzweil thinks we could begin the deathless process.
He likens that change as the next step in our evolution, the same way our ancestors developed to use the frontal cortex 2 million years ago.
The benefits, according to Kurzweil, will be significant. Kurzweil points to two advancements that've already happened to support his futuristic claims.
Technology will only continue to get smaller, more powerful, and less expensive over time. By hacking the human body we can ditch millennia-old genes that serve no purpose and increase our lifespan significantly. Get the latest Google stock price here. Account icon An icon in the shape of a person's head and shoulders. It often indicates a user profile. Login Subscribe.
8 Staggering Predictions From Ray Kurzweil
My Account. World globe An icon of the world globe, indicating different international options. Brandt Ranj.Oct 3, In a recent streaming broadcast with Peter Diamandis for Singularity UniversityRay Kurzweil predicted that AI will reach human intelligence by the end of the next decade.
What does that mean? The idea was that if an AI entity could interact with a human and the human could not tell whether it was AI, then it would have reached human intelligence or Artificial General Intelligence AGI. The Turing Test, as it was known, is defined as the ultimate test for AI.
Essentially, Kurzweil is saying that by that time, we will not be able to fully distinguish AI from human intelligence. How that will manifest itself is not clear. This could be in a humanoid, digital assistant, phone app or another device that does not exist. Is his forecast too aggressive?
KURZWEIL: Human-Level AI Is Coming By 2029
He has a track record to back up his claim. For a complete list of predictions for click here. Needless to say, when Kurzweil makes a prediction, the tech world listens. If we are truly a little over a decade from AGI, the discussion about what that means for humanity needs to start now. At its essence is the idea of sentience. If machines reach AGI, whether they are or not, they will certainly act like they are sentient.
How does that change our definition of humanity? Can sentience consciousness exist apart of biology? In this scenario, how do we define boundaries between biology and technology? Furthermore, if AI is to become human-like, then we must also re-think our relationship to machines. We have approached them as servants to our will. Should that stay the same in an AGI scenario? Given our track record in caring for nature, our hope for ethical treatment of machines is bleak.
These are just a some of the questions sparked by this extraordinary advance in human technology. The more segments in society enter this conversation, the better chance we have that AGI will not only be impressive but that it also will be good.
Are we up to the challenge? Reality Changing Observations:. Do you believe Kurzweil is right? Why or why not? Does reaching general artificial intelligence make machines sentient?The tech specialist, who has long supported the notion of immortality, says that medical advancements and improved technology in the coming 12 years will see humans being given the option to live forever.
Mr Kurzweil said: "I believe we will reach a point around when medical technologies will add one additional year every year to your life expectancy. The Google chief says that one of the steps that will allow us to live forever will be the invention of nanotechnology that can be placed in our bodies. Once inside, the minuscule bots will be a significant improvement on our immune system and will be almost per cent effective at fighting disease.
It has since grown to become the world's biggest search engine. Another step will be connecting our brains to the internet or a cloud network, which will be as big of a step in evolution as when our ancestors developed the frontal cortex 2 million years ago, according to Mr Kurzweil.
Bythe year old says, humans will be able to live forever. Play slideshow. Getty Images.At the SXSW Conference in Austin, Texas, Kurzweil made yet another prediction: the technological singularity will happen sometime in the next 30 years.
But for Kurzweil, the process towards this singularity has already begun. We all know it is coming sooner or later, but the question in the minds of almost everyone is: should humanity fear the singularity? Everyone knows that when machines become smarter than human beings, they tend to take over the world. What science fiction depicts as the singularity — at which point a single brilliant AI enslaves humanity — is just that: fiction.
Today we have billions. For Kurzweil, the singularity is an opportunity for humankind to improve. He envisions the same technology that will make AIs more intelligent giving humans a boost as well. They may not yet be inside our bodies, but, by the s, we will connect our neocortex, the part of our brain where we do our thinking, to the cloud.
Kurzweil expounded on how this technology could improve human lives. A previous version of this article stated that Kurzweil predicted the singularity byrather than the date an AI will pass a valid Turing test. Share to Facebook. Tweet This. Share via Email. Future Society. Get ready for humanity 2.
Secret of ETERNAL LIFE? We will know what it is by 2029, says Google chief
Christianna Reedy October 5th In a communication to Futurism, Kurzweil states: is the consistent date I have predicted for when an AI will pass a valid Turing test and therefore achieve human levels of intelligence.
He predicts that Artificial Intelligence would outsmart the human brain in computational capabilities by midst century. His first book, The Age of Intelligent Machinespublished input forth his theories on the results of the increasing use of technology and predicted the explosive growth in the internet, among other predictions.
Later works, 's The Age of Spiritual Machines and 's The Singularity is Near outlined other theories including the rise of clouds of nano-robots nanobots called foglets and the development of Human Body 2. Kurzweil's first book, The Age of Intelligent Machineswas published in It forecast the demise of the already crumpling Soviet Union due to new technologies such as cellular phones and fax machines disempowering authoritarian governments by removing state control over the flow of information.
Kurzweil extrapolated the performance of chess software to predict that computers would beat the best human players "by the year ". Perhaps most significantly, Kurzweil foresaw the explosive growth in worldwide Internet use that began in the s. He also stated that the Internet would explode not only in the number of users but in content as well, eventually granting users access "to international networks of libraries, data bases, and information services".
InKurzweil published a second book titled The Age of Spiritual Machineswhich goes into more depth explaining his futurist ideas.
The third and final section of the book is devoted to elucidating the specific course of technological advancements Kurzweil believes the world will experience over the next century.
Titled "To Face the Future", the section is divided into four chapters respectively named "", "", "", and "". For every chapter, Kurzweil issues predictions about what life and technology will be like in that year.
Kurzweil restated his earlier prediction from The Age of Intelligent Machines regarding the advent of pocket-sized, cheap, text-to-speech converters for the blind by The device was portable, but not the cheap, pocket-sized device of the prediction. While this book focuses on the future of technology and the human race as The Age of Intelligent Machines and The Age of Spiritual Machines did, Kurzweil makes very few concrete, short-term predictions in The Singularity Is Nearthough longer-term visions abound.
Kurzweil predicted that, insupercomputers with the computational capacities to simulate protein folding will be introduced. Ina supercomputer simulated protein folding for a very small protein at an atomic level over a period of a millisecond. The protein folded and unfolded, with the results closely matching experimental data.
In an October article published on his websiteKurzweil stated that " Deep Fritz -like chess programs running on ordinary personal computers will routinely defeat all humans later in this decade. According to Ray Kurzweil, 89 out of predictions he made were entirely correct by the end of Kurzweil has said that byhumanity will reach a "tipping point" where the cost-per-watt from solar energy is cheaper than from coal and oil: By capturing only 0.
Kurzweil believes, by the end of the s, humans will be able to completely replace fossil fuels. Kurzweil has said that by the s, people will be able to send nano-bots into their brains through their capillaries. The nano-bots will take up positions in close physical proximity to each interneuronal connection coming from each physical sense and cause the firing of neurons to result in full-immersion virtual reality, similar to the way psychedelic drugs alter consciousness.
In the cover article of the December issue of IEEE SpectrumJohn Rennie criticized Kurzweil's predictions: "On close examination, his clearest and most successful predictions often lack originality or profundity.
Predictions made by Ray Kurzweil
And most of his predictions come with so many loopholes that they border on the unfalsifiable. In a January blog article on his website, software developer Paul Feakins found that Kurzweil's analysis of his own prediction accuracy was heavily biased in his favour.Predictions for 2020s With Ray Kurzweil
From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia. This article has multiple issues. Please help improve it or discuss these issues on the talk page. Learn how and when to remove these template messages. This biography of a living person needs additional citations for verification. Please help by adding reliable sources.Byalmost everyone will be able to access wireless internet from almost anywhere on Earth at all times.
Within a few decades, space technology will be able to fully protect the Earth from asteroid collisions. Within a few decades, virtual reality will be fully immersive, making physical workspaces obsolete.
This will also somewhat alleviate the threat of terrorist attacks. Nanobots will not only exist by then, but be smart enough to combat diseases better than our current medical technology.
By the late s, it will be impossible to distinguish reality from virtual reality. The implications of this are endless, but one of the things Kurzweil mentions in TSIN is how this will affect your sex life.
In fact, other people such as your romantic partner will be able to select a different body for you than you might select for yourself and vice versa. By the early s, technology will be able to copy human brains and put them onto electronic mechanisms. That means no more flesh, blood, or bones — just a scan of your brain on a machine — and will enable humans to take any form, from a box to a bird.
Rather, we copy them and reinstall them on the new hardware. Sometime pastour planet will be entirely made up of computers. Monica Hunter-Hart. Ubiquitous Wifi Access Byalmost everyone will be able to access wireless internet from almost anywhere on Earth at all times. Working From Home with VR Within a few decades, virtual reality will be fully immersive, making physical workspaces obsolete.
Humans Become Machines By the early s, technology will be able to copy human brains and put them onto electronic mechanisms. Earth Will Be Made of Computers Sometime pastour planet will be entirely made up of computers. Related Tags Robots A. Results for:.Computers will be cleverer than humans byaccording to Ray Kurzweil, Google's director of engineering. The entrepreneur and futurologist has predicted that in 15 years' time computers will be more intelligent than we are and will be able to understand what we say, learn from experience, make jokes, tell stories and even flirt.
Kurzweil, 66, who is considered by some to be the world's leading artificial intelligence AI visionary, is recognised by technologists for popularising the idea of "the singularity" — the moment in the future when men and machines will supposedly converge.
Google hired him at the end of to work on the company's next breakthrough: an artificially intelligent search engine that knows us better than we know ourselves. In an interview in today's Observer New ReviewKurzweil says that the company hasn't given him a particular set of instructions, apart from helping to bring natural language understanding to Google.
You have something to say and Google is devoted to intelligently organising and processing the world's information. So we would want them to read everything on the web and every page of every book, then be able to engage in intelligent dialogue with the user to be able to answer their questions.
Kurzweil's prediction comes hot on the tail of revelations that Google is in the throes of assembling the greatest artificial intelligence laboratory on Earth. Kurzweil is known for inventing devices that have changed the world — the first flatbed scanner, the first computer program that could recognise a typeface, and the first text-to-speech synthesiser.
In he predicted that a computer would defeat a world chess champion by inIBM's Deep Blue defeated Garry Kasparovand he predicted the future prominence of the world wide web at a time when it was only an obscure system that was used by a few academics.
For years he has been saying that the Turing test — the moment at which a computer will exhibit intelligent behaviour equivalent to that of a human — will be passed in They've seen the Google self-driving cars. My views are not radical any more. Kurzweil had been working with Google's co-founder, Larry Page, on special projects over several years until Page offered him a job. We'll give you the independence you've had with your own company, but you'll have these Google-scale resources.
In Kurzweil co-founded the Singularity University, partly funded by Google, an unaccredited graduate school devoted to his ideas and the aim of exploring exponential technologies. Computing Consciousness Google news. Reuse this content. Order by newest oldest recommendations. Show 25 25 50 All.